Syria The alarm bell for AlBurhan

Rapid dramatic developments made the world’s eyes turn towards Syria.. Without warning, the opposition forces rushed the major cities of Aleppo, Hama, then Homs and knock on the doors of Damascus.. which, when one is reading these lines, may have ended the last chapter in the rule of Al-Assad and the Syrian Ba’ath Party.

However, the speed with which the fall became a reality wasn’t the most surprising aspect.. but -more so- the major supporters of Al-Assad regime standing as if they were blessing the progress made by the opposition.. and turning the page without consulting Assad.

Russia evacuated its military bases and Iran rapidly rounded up its diplomatic mission alongside their families and left.

Regardless of the fluctuations dominating the situation in Syria, invoking significant questions in regards to the expectations of the new regime; the question that concerns the Sudanese people remains.. How will the events taking place in Syria impact Sudan? Will it have a negative or positive impact!

It is rather wise to seriously consider the international political chessboard.. Al-Assad relied heavily on Russian and Iranian support, constantly rejecting any solutions or political settlement that would lead to expanding the circle of participation in governance.. perhaps with narrow sectarian and personal calculations in mind. Seemingly, his return to the bosom of the Arab League gave him a lasting sense of victory that necessitates more stubbornness and monopolization of power..

In the midst of this vainglory.. international arrangements were taking place behind the scenes.. The major players tend -not- to view the situation in Syria in isolation from the bigger picture of the new Middle East, entitled (Stability first..).

This title is based on Tehran.. Iran, the main player in the region.. having established arms that are organically and directly affiliated with it.. in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza and Yemen. International arrangements began to dismantle these arms, starting with Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and currently Al-Assad in Syria. Necessarily, the Houthis in Yemen will be next.. Therefore, Iran will find itself alone in the face of a world united against its foreign agenda.

In Sudan.. the government has continued to reject international and regional requests to engage constructively in negotiations to end the ongoing war.. and refuses to clear a political path that can lead to a major settlement that will hopefully end the conflicts in the country, once and for all.. As the head of the Sovereignty Council, Lt. Gen. Al-Burhan, relies on external and internal balances to keep him in power.

Such a situation cannot be allowed to continue for long.. under the new title of the new Middle East (Stability first).. with all certainty, international and regional arrangements will begin to attempt to demarcate new conditions in Sudan that go beyond Al-Burhan and other political players who rely on the principle of stubbornness and refusal to engage in political recovery scenarios as an entry point to stability.

Al-Burhan chose to empty the State apparatus of its supreme institutions so he can monopolize the power to make decisions.. and perhaps the sensitivity of the situation in light of the war as well as the concerns of division that everyone fears helped him accomplish that goal.. However, the situation -currently- has crossed the limits of what can be relied upon to maintain a situation in accordance with Al-Burhan’s wishes.

It would certainly be wise for Al-Burhan to realize that he is at a crossroads.. either to lead a new phase of recovery in Sudan with pure intentions for the sake of the homeland and its future.. or he will find himself besieged by scenarios for the next day.
The first step required of Al-Burhan is to put the interests of Sudan first and foremost before any other considerations.. without the slightest hesitation.. as attempting to link the fate of Sudan to his personal fate or that of any political party will have dire consequences for the entire country, that won’t be limited to him or any specific political party.

Its in Sudan’s best interest now.. today and before tomorrow comes around.. to create a political consensus with the people first.. before the partisan components greedily searching for their narrow interests -as well- manage to make any progress..

The Sudanese people are well-aware.. if the political discourse addresses them directly without an intermediary.. with the utmost courage and blatancy.. they will be the biggest supporter of a political recovery that creates a new State on the ruins of the great destruction.

The choice is now in Al-Burhan’s hands.. either to change.. or be changed..!!